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QLD set for double-digit property growth

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sunshine coast investor

SOUTHEAST Queensland house prices are tipped to grow by up to 20 per cent in the next few years as Sydney and Melbourne’s once sizzling property markets continue to lose steam, according to veteran real estate agent John McGrath.

Speaking after the release of the group’s annual residential market report, Mr McGrath told The Courier-Mail the state was only just over halfway through the current property cycle and stood to benefit from the slowdown starting to grip the southern capitals.

“We’re very bullish in your part of the world,” Mr McGrath said.

“There’s no doubt in my mind there will continue to be growth in southeast Queensland.”

John McGrath of McGrath Estate Agents has released the annual McGrath Report.

John McGrath of McGrath Estate Agents has released the annual McGrath Report.

Property research firm CoreLogic, which releases its monthly home value index this week, has flagged a further fall in Sydney housing values, but a rise of 0.3 per cent in Brisbane home prices.

Mr McGrath said he expected between 10 and 20 per cent growth over the next two to three years in the Queensland’s southeast corner, led by Brisbane.

“There have been huge capital gains in Sydney and Melbourne and not only has it made it unaffordable … it’s certainly made people look for better value elsewhere in the country,” he said.

“I think southeast Queensland and Perth represent that value.”

Brisbane house prices are tipped for further growth according to McGrath. Picture: Richard Walker.

Brisbane house prices are tipped for further growth according to McGrath. Picture: Richard Walker.

The McGrath report found southeast Queensland’s affordability was attracting record levels of interstate migration as well as rising interest from investors and first home buyers, with its housing market continuing to produce solid results despite the economy remaining sluggish as it transitions away from mining.

“During the GFC, a lot of people thought it was sensible to wait, but now we’ve got a lot of people sitting in ordinary homes in Sydney and Melbourne worth $2 million to $2.5 million – many in their 60s and 70s – who are saying ‘what could we do next?’ and looking to southeast Queensland,” Mr McGrath said.

And he said it wasn’t just Baby Boomers and seachangers who were selling up and buying in Queensland with money to spare, but also young families.

Mr McGrath predicts suburbs with easy access to the CBD, the water and/or infrastructure to be the big winners over the next year.

Residential property in the bayside suburb of Wynnum, Brisbane.

Residential property in the bayside suburb of Wynnum, Brisbane.

In Brisbane, his top pick is the bayside suburb of Wynnum, 14km from the CBD.

It borders the more prestigious Manly and boasts the same seaside village atmosphere without the hefty price tag, which is attracting younger professionals as well as interstate and international buyers.

North Lakes in the Moreton Bay region is also expected to continue to experience strong growth, with significant residential and commercial developments in the pipeline.

An aerial photo of North Lakes, 25km from Brisbane’s CBD. Picture: Richard Walker.

An aerial photo of North Lakes, 25km from Brisbane’s CBD. Picture: Richard Walker.

“I think it’s going to continue to attract a lot of young families that can’t afford inner Brisbane,” Mr McGrath said.

On the Gold Coast, Coomera is tipped to benefit from new infrastructure including the $470 million Westfield Shopping Centre due to open in late 2018.

“There are a lot of great areas in between Brisbane and the Gold Coast and Coomera is a great example,” Mr McGrath said.

“I think it will continue to grow.”

An artist impression of the Westfield Coomera Town Centre. Supplied by Westfield.

An artist impression of the Westfield Coomera Town Centre. Supplied by Westfield.

On the Sunshine Coast, McGrath’s top picks are Peregian Springs and Caloundra.

The regional centre of Toowoomba is also tipped for strong growth over the next year thanks to its affordability and access to east coast cities via the new airport, according to the report.

Originally Published: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland

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Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland

The Gold Coast has recorded the strongest growth in house prices in Queensland over the past 12 months.

GOLD Coast house prices are leading the way in Queensland, up six per cent in the past 12 months to an average $620,000.

The latest figures by the Real Estate Institute of Queensland show homes on the Glitter Strip are $35,000 more on the same time last year.

Unit prices are up 1.9 per cent to $428,000.

Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland
REIQ data reveals houses on the Glitter Strip are worth $35,000 on the same time last year.

REIQ’s Queensland Market Monitor for March said the strong population growth came on the back of infrastructure projects such as the $550 million Gold Coast Health and Knowledge Precinct and M1 upgrades.

“The property market has been one of the big winners from the sporting event as the $1.5 billion infrastructure investment has boosted confidence and demand for housing in the region,” the report stated.

“We expect house prices will show an upward path in 2018. However, this growth will most likely be more moderate.”

A quiet real estate period leading up to, and during, the Commonwealth Games likely contributed to a slight drop (-0.3 per cent) in the March quarterly median sales price, the report reveals.

Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland
Andrew Henderson says a growing population and employment opportunities were contributing to a strong property market. Picture: Jerad Williams

REIQ Gold Coast zone chairman Andrew Henderson said he expected interstate migration to continue to benefit the city.

“I expect the market to remain strong,” he said.

“There is a heavy amount of interstate buyers moving here.

“I was at an auction recently where the winning bidder was from Sydney and the underbidder was from Melbourne.”

Mr Henderson said growing employment opportunities were also attracting homebuyers to the city.

Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland
The Gold Coast property market is expected to remain strong.

“We have some of the best health facilities in the country and our universities are world recognised.

“Those two things alone complement the tourism industry and the lifestyle aspects that the Coast offers.”

The report found the fastest-selling suburbs on the Coast included Worongary, Merrimac, Highland Park, Mudgeeraba and Carrara.

It also revealed the rental vacancy held tight throughout the first quarter of the year at 1.1 per cent.

Gold Coast house values record the biggest growth in Queensland
Andrew Bell says the Coast had evolved from a tourist town into a vibrant city with an expanding economy. Picture Mike Batterham

Ray White Surfers Paradise Group CEO Andrew Bell said the Games heralded the next chapter for the Coast, as it evolved from a tourist town into a vibrant city with an expanding economy.

“The city’s property market is riding the irreversible momentum that has now come to the Gold Coast in terms of economic diversity and with more employment options we will need more housing options for people,” Mr Bell said.

“We are no longer going to be subject to tourism upsides and downsides as we were in the past because our economy has well and truly diversified beyond just tourism.”

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Australia’s golden triangle of opportunity

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Australia's golden triangle of opportunity

It was great to be back on the Gold Coast for the 21st annual Australasian Real Estate Conference (AREC), attended by over 4,000 of Australia’s best industry professionals.  While I was there I was once again reminded of how much potential the South-East Queensland property market is offering both sea changers and investors at this stage in its market cycle.

In my view, Brisbane is the best market in Australia currently for short to medium term price growth, with the value gap between it and the other big East Coast capitals as large as I’ve seen it in many years.

When you factor in the key drivers for future growth – liveability, affordability, scale and future economic prospects, they all suggest that Brisbane is a market to invest in.  Check out the latest statistics from CoreLogic below.

Value gap – median house prices 

Brisbane $536,286

Melbourne $821,006

Sydney $1,019,093

Value gap – median apartment prices

Brisbane $385,121

Melbourne $573,673

Sydney $749,765

I’ve been bullish on Brisbane for many years and in hindsight, I called its next growth phase a couple of years too early. It’s had some growth in recent years but there is a lot more to come over the next few years.

According to McGrath’s top prestige agent in Brisbane, Alex Jordan, one of the dominant trends today is downsizers buying up luxury apartments.

Alex says: “Despite the reported oversupply in Brisbane’s inner city apartment market, we are seeing great strength in the prestige apartment sector.

“The luxury apartment market ($1M+) is driven by owner occupiers, particularly baby boomers and empty nesters, who are attracted to less maintenance and better accessibility.

“Popular suburbs include New Farm, Newstead, Teneriffe, Kangaroo Point, South Brisbane, St Lucia, Paddington and the Brisbane CBD. These areas offer a desirable lifestyle with an abundance of shopping, dining and entertaining precincts at their doorstep.”

South East Queensland has so many options for asset-rich, cash-poor southerners. Many of our customers in Sydney and Melbourne are looking closely at South East Queensland both for investment and a potential sea change. I believe its affordability will continue to attract record levels of interstate migration.

If you live in Sydney or Melbourne and you’re struggling with the mortgage and cost of living, Brisbane is a fantastic alternative. It offers big city job opportunities, high quality education options and the chance to transform your financial future.

The boom delivered Sydney and Melbourne home owners a capital gain of up to 75% – that’s enormous new equity that could be cashed in to fund an amazing new lifestyle with far less mortgage stress up north. Plus, you’d be buying in just before Brisbane’s next wave of price growth. It’s the perfect scenario.

I believe the area from the Gold Coast to Toowoomba and up to the Sunshine Coast is Australia’s golden triangle right now.

Toowoomba, with its expanded airport facilities which have opened up easy access to the south, is the perfect and affordable treechange destination. Known as Queensland’s Garden City, about 2,300 people moved here from Brisbane last year for its cheaper house prices and enjoyable regional city lifestyle.

Both the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast are also appealing sea change options benefitting from a raft of new infrastructure that will drive further population growth and generate more local jobs.

Brisbane is one of the world’s great cities but I don’t think this is fully realised as yet. If you haven’t been to Brisbane for a number of years, get on a plane. This is a thriving city that offers many of the lifestyle amenities you love about the southern capitals but at a much cheaper price.

I think Brisbane will also become very attractive to migration and investment from Asia in the years ahead.

South East Queensland is offering opportunity everywhere for both owner occupiers and investors alike. Now’s the time to consider what Australia’s premier lifestyle market can do for you!

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Why Brisbane property is set for great capital growth

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Why Brisbane property is set for great capital growth

Over the last 10 years, Brisbane has suffered the GFC and floods. As a result, prices are now extremely affordable for a capital city. The Brisbane market has some of the best growth prospects nationwide, so let’s explore why this market is set to take the gold medal for capital growth.

Increasing population

Since the GFC, net migration levels have been very poor for Queensland. However, net interstate migration to Queensland has tripled over the last three years. Interstate migration to Queensland fell to a low of 5,753 in 2014, increasing to 11,581 in 2016 and 15,716 in 2017.

The majority of these people are moving from Brisbane, the Sunshine Coast and the Gold Coast. This increase in migration levels is due to housing affordability compared to other states, improving employment markets and the lifestyle factors that come with those two factors.

Infrastructure

There is a surge of major development and infrastructure projects currently underway in Brisbane, to the sum of $12 billion.

Examples of these major projects are:

  • Queens Wharf ($3 billion) – Comprising of 1,000 hotel rooms across five hotels, a residential precinct of 2,000 units, a 100-metre sky deck, 50 bars and restaurants and a pedestrian bridge connection to Southbank. This will completely reshape the Brisbane’s river CBD precinct.
  • Cross River Rail ($5.4 billion) – The project will deliver a 10.2-kilometre rail link from Dutton Park to Bowen Hills, with 5.9 kilometres of tunnel under the Brisbane River and CBD, connecting to both northern and southern rail networks in and out of the CBD.
  • Brisbane Quarter ($1 billion) – This project is a mixed-use precinct incorporating office, retail, hotel and residential uses.
  • Brisbane Live ($2 billion) – A new entertainment precinct located on top of the Roma Street rail interchange hub. Facilities include a $450 million, 17,000-seat arena along with multiplex cinemas, an amphitheatre and proposed commercial, residential and hotel towers.

Jobs growth

Last year was one of the strongest years for job growth in Brisbane’s history. In the last 12 months, Brisbane’s jobs growth has increased by 7.6 per cent. As a result, unemployment has fallen across the board to 5.5 per cent.

Recent jobs growth has been driven by Queensland’s service industries. While the resources sector has cut 22,000 jobs over the past two years, four other industries each created more jobs than were lost in the resource sector over that period: health, education, professional services and accommodation and food services (which is closely related to tourism).

Affordability

The median dwelling across Brisbane cost 6.3 times higher than the median household income. As a comparison, Sydneywas ranked the second worst most unaffordable market in the world. House prices are a whopping 13 times higher than the median household income.

These factors are significant for Brisbane’s capital growth prospects over the coming years. Well-located houses (not units) are expected to be some of the best preforming sub-markets in Australian real estate.

Where else but Queensland!

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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