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Southeast Queensland and commuter corridors in Victoria offer best prospects for property price growth, new report shows

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INVESTORS in search of properties that will deliver high capital growth in the years ahead may find southeast Queensland and certain fringe suburbs of Melbourne safe bets.

These regions accounted for the bulk of high growth property markets in Hotspotting.com.au’s latest Top 10 Best Buys report, which forecasts the 10 best locations for property investors seeking capital growth.

Queensland locations in the report included the Gold Coast, Ipswich and Logan, while the Melbourne regions included the City of Casey and Epping.

Just one NSW location was nominated: Wagga Wagga.

No property markets in South Australia or Western Australia made the cut, but Tasmania had a surprising addition in Hobart.

The report said these locations have “identifiable drivers of demand for real estate, which will place pressure on prices and rents … we expect them to show growth not only in 2016 but well beyond.”

GOLD COAST, QLD

Billions is being spent on infrastructure across the Gold Coast in the lead up to the Commonwealth Games in April 2018, which is expected to bring around 690,000 visitors to the city.

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Ongoing projects include the $150 million development of the light rail network and a $42 million aquatic centre.
These and other developments have helped create 15,000 jobs over the past year, adding to the city’s already strong population growth. The Gold Coast’s population is projected to grow by 133,800 people in the decade — the largest population growth in Queensland.

“There will be (property) price growth, especially in the genuine residential suburbs,” the Hotspotting report said. Much of this growth is expected to occur in suburbs along the northern corridor between Helensvale and Brisbane.

LOGAN, QLD

Logan City’s combination of affordable property prices, good infrastructure and proximity to job hubs could boost home values.

Many of the region’s older suburbs have been revitalised through urban renewal projects and Logan is already one of the fastest growing municipalities in Australia.

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It is being expanded through a $4 billion masterplanned housing community on Waterford Tamborine Road, which will result in 17,000 new dwellings.

There is also a $600 million project to redevelop Jeta Gardens Retirement Village, approved by local council in 2014. The village currently injects $10 million into the local economy annually, but this is set to rise to $100 million.

HOBART, TAS

Tasmania’s economy is rising on the back of big improvements in tourism and business investment after years of lacklustre economic activity.

The property market has started to respond, with sales activity steadily improving since 2012.

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Hotspotting pointed out that Hobart presents an attractive package to investors, with high rental returns and prices considerably more affordable than on the mainland.

The city’s most popular suburbs, which include Claremont, Glenorchy, Howrah, Kingston and Moonah, have median prices under $400,000.

EPPING, VIC

The Epping region, on the northern fringe of Melbourne, is due a number of improvements which are likely to bring new people to the suburb and boost property prices, Hotspotting said.

These include the upgrade of the Western Ring Road, further expansion of commuter train services in the region and the relocation of Melbourne’s fruit and vegetable markets to Epping. There is also a new business park in development at Mickleham, which will create 20,000 jobs.

CITY OF CASEY, VIC

The property market in the City of Casey, in Melbourne’s southeast, has been growing, with many suburbs attracting rising sales activity.

The area’s rising population demands new housing estates and the State Government’s long-term planning document — Plan Melbourne — has identified several suburbs in the Local Government Area to play a major role in service delivery and creating employment.

An upturn in commercial development activity began in 2015 with five major projects creating 3,730 new jobs. The planned Berwick Health, Innovation and Education Precinct is expected to provide an additional 9,000 new jobs.

THE REST OF THE TOP 10:

Moreton Bay, Qld: The region offers affordable housing as well as good rail and road links to Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, making it a strategically placed property market.

Sunshine Coast, Qld: Billions of dollars in service upgrades, including the development of a $5 billion medical hub, are driving an influx of new jobs to the area, in the process, boosting demand for housing.

Sunshine precinct, Vic: Sunshine and surrounds are destined to become a major regional hub within the Melbourne metropolitan area. Extensive investment in infrastructure and amenities will drive demand for property and pull up prices.

Wagga Wagga, NSW: The high number of first-home buyers taking advantage of affordable properties in the area bodes well for Wagga Wagga’s capital growth prospects, the Hotspotting report said. Army and air force bases are expanding in the area, while education, health and other community services are being upgraded.

Ipswich, Qld: A report by the Department of Infrastructure and Transport forecast 56,000 jobs will be created in Ipswich’s central suburbs by 2026. The jobs growth, coupled with affordable prices, will fuel demand for housing, Hotspotting said.

Originally Published On: http://www.heraldsun.com.au/

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Opinion

Negative gearing changes will affect us all, mostly for the better

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Negative gearing changes will affect us all, mostly for the better

Don’t have a negatively geared investment property? You’re in good company.

Despite all the talk about negatively geared nurses and property baron police officers, 90 per cent of taxpayers do not use it.

But federal Labor’s policy will still affect you through changes in the housing market and the budget. Here’s what you should know.

Labor’s negative gearing policy will prevent investors from writing off the losses from their property investments against the tax they pay on their wages. This will affect investors buying properties where the rent isn’t enough to cover the cost of operating the property, including any interest payments on the investment loan.

Doesn’t sound like a good investment? Exactly right: negatively gearing a property only makes sense as an investment strategy if you expect that the house will rise significantly in value so you’ll make a decent capital gain when you sell.

The negatively geared investor gets a good deal on tax – they write off their losses in full as they occur but they are only taxed on 50 per cent of their gains when they sell.

Labor’s policy makes the tax deal a little less sweet – losses can only be written off against other investment income, including the proceeds from the property when it is sold. And investors will pay tax on 75 per cent of their gains, at their marginal tax rate.

Future property speculators are unlikely to be popping the champagne corks for Labor’s plan. But other Australians should know that there are a lot of potential upsides from winding back these concessions.

Limiting negative gearing and reducing the capital gains tax discount will substantially boost the budget bottom line. The independent Parliamentary Budget Office estimates Labor’s policy will raise about $32.1 billion over a decade.

Ultimately, the winners from the change are the 89 per cent of nurses, 87 per cent of teachers and all the other hard-working taxpayers who don’t negatively gear. Winding back tax concessions that do not have a strong economic justification means the government can reduce other taxes, provide more services or improve the budget bottom line.

Labor’s plan will reduce house prices, a little. By reducing investor tax breaks, it will reduce investor demand for existing houses.

Assuming the value of the $6.6 trillion property market falls by the entire value of the future stream of tax benefits, there would be price falls in the range of 1 per cent to 2 per cent. Any reduction in competition from investors is a win for first home buyers.

Existing home-owners may be less pleased, especially in light of recent price falls in Sydney and Melbourne. But if they bought their house more than a couple of years ago, chances are they are still comfortably ahead.

And renters need not fear Labor’s policy. Fewer investors does mean fewer rental properties, but those properties don’t disappear – home buyers move in, and so there are also fewer renters.

Negative gearing would affect rents only if it reduced new housing supply. Any effects will be small: around 90 per cent of investment lending is for existing housing, and Labor’s policy leaves in place negative gearing tax write-offs for new homes.

All Australians will benefit from greater stability in the housing market from the proposed change. The existing tax breaks magnify volatility. Negative gearing is most attractive as a tax minimisation strategy when asset prices are rising strongly. So in boom times it feeds investor demand for housing. The opposite is true when prices are stable or falling.

The Reserve Bank, the Productivity Commission and the Murray financial system inquiry have all raised concerns about the effects of the current tax arrangements on financial stability.

Negative gearing would affect rents only if it reduced new housing supply.

 

And for those worried about equity? Negative gearing and capital gains are both skewed towards the better off. Almost 70 per cent of capital gains accrue to those with taxable incomes of more than $130,000, putting them in the top 10 per cent of income earners.

For negative gearing, 38 per cent of the tax benefits flow to this group. But people who negatively gear have lower taxable incomes because they are negatively gearing. If we look at people’s taxable incomes before rental deductions, the top 10 per cent of income earners receive almost 50 per cent of the tax benefit from negative gearing.

So you shouldn’t be surprised to learn that the share of anaesthetists negatively gearing is almost triple that for nurses, and the average tax benefits they receive are around 11 times higher.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg says aspirational voters should fear Labor’s proposed changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax.

But for those of us who aspire to a better budget bottom line, a more stable housing market and better opportunities for first home buyers, the policies have plenty to find favour.

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Revealed: The top 10 suburbs to buy a bargain home and reap long-term capital growth returns – but experts warn there’s a catch

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Revealed The top 10 suburbs to buy a bargain home and reap long-term capital growth returns - but experts warn there's a catch

The top 10 suburbs for buying a bargain home have been revealed.

The top two on the list were Norlane and Lovely Banks, two northern suburbs in Geelong, Victoria, while the remaining eight all come from Queensland.

Hollywell in the Gold Coast was named as the best Queensland suburb for an affordable home with long-term capital gain, according to property researcher RiskWise.

The Gold Coast suburb, located 70km south of Brisbane’s CBD, is close to shopping centres, good schools and the beach.

Experts have warned buyers not to confuse a ‘bargain’ property with a ‘cheap’ one.

top 10 suburbs to buy a bargain home and reap long-term capital growth returns

 

The coastal suburb also has many older properties which will have plenty of potential after renovation, according to realestate.com.au.

It has a median house price of $786,614, according to property data researcher CoreLogic.

Mount Ommaney, Sinnamon Park and Gordon Park in Brisbane also make the list, followed by Gaven on the Gold Coast and Doonan in the Sunshine Coast.

Mount Ommaney, an outer suburb located 14 kilometres south-west of Brisbane’s CBD, has a median house price of $852,729.

Sinnamon Park, also located south-west of the Brisbane CBD, has a slightly lower median house price of $747,272.

RiskWise’s list ends with Gordon Park, Stafford Heights and Twin Waters in Queensland.

All the suburbs listed had a median house price of $300,000 to $870,000, with Norlane having the lowest price at $370,931 and Doonan with the highest at $871,189.

RiskWise chief executive Doron Peleg warns the public that a ‘bargain’ house does not necessarily mean buying a ‘cheap’ one.

RiskWise listed down suburbs where capital growth was expected to increase steadily over the years.

The top 10 suburbs to buy a bargain home and reap long-term capital growth returns - but experts warn there's a catch

 

‘It’s more about knowing where to buy for long-term capital gain,’ Mr Peleg said.

‘Sure, there are a lot of well-priced houses out there, but if they are not expected to grow in value down the track, then they really aren’t the best buy.

‘These (Queensland) suburbs, which all enjoyed capital growth of 13 per cent of the past 12 months, are expected to continue to do well as they have a number of things going for them.

‘For starters, they are relatively affordable and all within 100km of Brisbane which means, provided there is a good public transport and road infrastructure, commuting to work is not too much of an issue’.

The top 10 suburbs to buy a bargain home and reap long-term capital growth returns

 

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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Opinion

Property Experts Reveal Surprising Areas Investors Are Snapping Up

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Property Experts Reveal Surprising Areas Investors Are Snapping Up

We all know Sydney’s property market has taken hit after hit recently — but there are other lesser-known areas that are experiencing a sudden property boom.

That’s according to Australian real estate experts, who claim that while investors may have deserted Sydney and Melbourne, their attention has turned to other regions across the country.

According to Daniel Walsh of investment buyer’s agency Your Property Your Wealth, investment activity has now firmly shifted to Queensland.

“Net migration has now overtaken Melbourne due to the affordability that Brisbane has to offer,” he explained.

“We’re also seeing rising demand particularly in the housing sector in southeast Queensland where yields are high and jobs are increasing due to the amount of government expenditure around infrastructure which is attracting families to the Sunshine State.

“With Brisbane’s population growth at 1.6 per cent and surrounding areas like Moreton Bay at 2.2 per cent, the Sunshine Coast at 2.7 per cent and Ipswich at 3.7 per cent, we are forecasting that Brisbane will be the standout performer over the next three to five years.”

Realestate.com.au chief economist Nerida Conisbee agreed, saying Sydney investors especially had started to turn their attention north.

“Interest is strong in the Gold Coast across the board although there’s more action on the south side in places like Tugun and Burleigh Heads,” she said, adding there was also a notable trend towards Tasmania, Adelaide and pockets of NSW.

“In Tasmania, most activity is definitely taking place in Hobart, but it has shifted — a lot of the action was in the inner city, but it’s now happening in the middle and outer ring suburbs, as well as in Launceston.

“Tweed Heads and Byron Bay (in NSW) have also had strong price growth at the moment,” she said, adding that in Sydney, trendy inner-city suburbs like Paddington, the premium end of town and areas like Winston Hills in the city’s west were defying the downward trend.

Ms Conisbee said long-neglected Adelaide was also finally booming after recently hitting the highest median house price ever recorded, largely driven by jobs and economic growth off the back of defence contracts, the announcement of the new Australian Space Agency and other investment in the area.

“Inner Adelaide, beachside and the Adelaide Hills tend to have the most activity but there’s also quite a lot of rental demand in low-cost suburbs so we’re expecting to see a bit more investment there in those really cheap suburbs over the next 12 months,” she said.

“There you can get houses for $250,000 so for an investor, it’s a relatively low cost in terms of outlay and the area is seeing really strong rental demand which means you’re more than likely to get tenants, so for investors it’s a really attractive area.”

Mr Walsh said Sydney still remained a solid investment option in the long term — but stressed it was just not the right time to buy in the city due to its market cycle as well as lending constraints.

“While property prices in Sydney have softened by about 9 per cent this year, they are still high, which means it’s not an affordable option for many investors,” he said, noting the city’s high buy-in prices coupled with relatively low rents made the yields quite unattractive.

“At this point in time, the high costs of entry as well as holding costs make it a location that should be avoided — but not forever,” he said.

“The thing is, Sydney is still Sydney, which means that it will always be in demand.

“Its population is forecast to grow by some three million people in the decades ahead, plus it remains our nation’s economic engine room.”

He said the entire NSW economy remained “robust” with unemployment falling to 4.4 per cent last year, with Sydney’s major infrastructure program also proving there was “much to be positive about” in Sydney.

“Sydney homeowners and investors who bought a number of years ago are still well ahead because they chose the optimal time to buy and they remain focused on the future,” he said, adding the optimal time to re-enter the market probably wouldn’t be for at least another year or two.

Source: brisbaneinvestor.com.au

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